I Called This 24-48 Hours Ago...

Putin Put One Over on The World with Prigohzin and Made Bank

Greetings Me Droogs N Droogettes!
So… Sapper N Me took a bit of time the other night to do a couple of ‘mental sandbox exercises’ regarding the “Mutiny” of Wagner. It sure as hell didn’t make a lot of sense, seeings that Wagner had been hailed as the guys who ‘took’ Bahkmut and did the majority of the ‘heavy lifting’ for the Russian Ministry of Defense.

Now… during and as the ‘Bahmut Blast’ was ongoing, ‘Priggy’ if you will, started ranting and raving in a fashion not normally heard in Russia. Unhinged sort of stuff that had the world watching the mad-dog cook-turned-Merc to see if Putin did an “Off with his head!” thing. Most of Putins critics usually either ‘suicide’ off ten story buildings, or by way of two bullets to the back of the head.

Now, it doesn’t help that he -looks- like a guy who’d be Hannibal Lecter’s cell mate. Guy is on a whole ‘nother level “More Russian than Russian” as far as looks and bombast.

So after Bahkmut, him and his boys were sent to waaaaay down south in Crimea for some well earned R&R, as well as refit. During that interim (the past 6-8 weeks), expected things happened and odd things happened.

The expected was the long awaited suicide run of the Krainian Counter-Offensive, and despite the pro-Western Ministries of Lies and Propaganda, they from all reports got utterly crushed. Not for nothing, they didn’t even make it to the primary line of Russian Defense. Numerous reasons abount, but the one info-nugget I found was that according to sources, the Krainians did a trainup using the NATO Combine Arms Maneuver simulator called (I think) KORA in Germany. It’s a ‘action/reaction’ simulator that takes all forces, and has them train up folks in the battlespace environment.

Per the company website: “KORA is an advanced synthetic wargaming environment that is primarily used for a wide range of command post exercises, but also supports course-of-action analysis and scenario-based experiments. “The Bundeswehr wanted to stimulate the SitaWare Headquarters system with data from a scenario being run in the KORA environment”, notes IABG’s Sebastian Stiegler, “We were able to send a range of data from KORA to SitaWare, such as unit positions, recce reports, holdings and the whole ORBAT (order of battle).”

Now, this was used to train the Krainians in the upcoming land battle. The extremely fucked up thing is, according to some sources, the Trainer set the OPFOR Fight Level (Opposing Forces, i.e. the Russians) to Retard Level. Meaning that the Krainians, if this was “Call of Duty”, they had the play level set to “Extremely Easy”.

Which, yeah… it gave the Krainians a ego and morale boost when it came to “winning” the simulation, but IRL? They were set up to lose and lose brutally. It also shows why they went in on the attack in penny-packets instead of one giant ‘push’… they thought that the Russians were going to fold like a lawn chair, and because of this, they kept reinforcing losing positions, and subsequently got their asses kicked. And even worse, The Krainians were not told they were on the “Easy Level”

I’m not sure, as the sources involved aren’t really sure if this was, per se intentional or if they did that setting ‘cos their intel is that broken and the Trainers really thought the Russians were that weak and non-functional as a maneuver group.

Anyways… that was the expected thing that happened.

The unexpected thing that happened however was Putin transferred a large number of Tactical Nuclear Weapons to Belarus.

Now why the fuck did they do that?
I think I have an idea.

So… Wagner had some ‘issues’ with the MOD and Priggy got all riled up on the regular… yelling screaming, various ‘incidents’ that were, oddly enough publicized by the Russians themselves, which had the NATO kids and the Krainians all happy as it showed ‘fractures’ in the SMO and it’s most effective group Wagner. Wagner being a Private Military Company, not fully subordinate to the MoD, but hey… they did do the majority of the heavy lifting.

Now. Not getting into the whole breakdown of the “Who How Where and Why” of this mutiny. What I noticed was the pattern of it… Priggy and is boys, with very little interference from the “Regular Army” started marching North towards Moscow with the “intent of throwing Shoigu and Gerasimov out” and possibly taking control of Russia itself and throwing Putin out completely.

Needless to say, the US and the Krain practically nutted on themselves on the word of this coming out, but there’s also some word leaking that they (NATO et. al.) had a hand in this and had paid off Priggy to do this exact thing… we’ll never know the truth but the RUMINT is flying around out there…

Either way, what got MY attention was where Priggy and his boys had stopped on their Magical Mutiny Tour:

Now, it’s really small but it was a map showing that the column had stopped in a place called “Elets” (manually embiggened):

Looking on Google Erf, Elets or Yelets has a major East-West Highway which hooks onto another major highway… now, supposedly Wagner and Prigozhin have accepted “exile” in Belarus. And the reports are they stopped in Elets, hooked a left, and drove down into Belarus… word is it about 25k troops that went with him, with about another 10k staying behind.

Now, to me?
Putin doesn’t let reporters who say bad things about him in the news live.

Why the fuck isn’t Priggy and his boys being jailed or at least Prigozhin himself? Putins killed for a hell of a lot less offenses. And then, as it’s been stated before, the fact that the Russian DotMil essentially didn’t raise a finger to stop him? Granted there were a couple of choppers and planes ‘supposedly’ shot down, but that, to me remains to be seen, as the propaganda these days? Almost impossible to sort the wheat from the chaff.

I do know and have gotten word on where Wagner did end up:

LOLZ!
The NATO Kids and everyone was so thrilled at the idea of a Mutiny, how much you want to bet that they started moving equipment towards the southern Edge of the Battlespace with the intent of pushing (again) into the Kherson A.O.? Any bets they didn’t think this might be a head-fake?

‘Cos now they have the Russian Tip of The Spear sitting about a HOP-SKIP-AND-A-JUMP from the Heart of Kiev.

This “mutiny” was an active Markirovka that allowed Putin to move 25-35000 of his most hardcore fighters openly and publically to the very edge of Kiev, and NO ONE NOTICED OR REALIZED IT.

Well Played, if in fact this’s what was the case.

Here’s MY scenario:
Wagner, to “regain their lost honor” go full on Blitzkrieg against Kiev itself inside of the next 72-84 hours. That’s long enough to rest up, rearm and refuel from the lightening Patton-style roadmarch they just did.
NATO and Kiv of course go full on batshit, start screaming at Belarus about “becoming full hostile combatants” to which Belarus’ll say “Ain’t doing nothin’ Poland ain’t been doing Mate!” NATO’ll get all stupid for about 30 seconds, and Lukashenko, a gentleman not known for putting up with bullshit will probably say “We got nukes now, don’t y’all even think about getting stupid”

120 hours later, Kiev falls, Krainfeld and his Koterie end up as refugees in Israel, and NATO gets told to “…stay the fuck out of our back yard” by Putin.

Game Set and Match
Even funnier? If it’s true that the CIA paid Priggy 6 BILLION Bux to do this, and he stabbed ‘em in the back? A double-double cross? OMFG the Lulz on that!

Your thoughts?

And lastly, on an administrative note. I finally got the payment thing handled here. Anyone who pledged before tho, please go back and check to see IF your pledges went through, because as of Now? I only show ONE $50 pledge and no other. I think because the Strip thing wasn’t working, your pledges did NOT go through and need to be redone. Please let me know, either way, cos I really can use the support. And those of you who have pledged, I thank you in advance.

Big Country